**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a sunny, hot day for Austin on August 30, 2026, with highs near 100°F under persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities on 98–99°F (48.5%) and 100–101°F (32%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s absent significant moisture or frontal activity. Heat indices may approach 104°F due to humidity, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Stable model runs over recent days have kept odds anchored, with limited scope for deviation unless an unexpected mesoscale feature develops before measurement at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$198 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$16 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$312 Vol.
12%
98-99°F
$3,002 Vol.
49%
100-101°F
$243 Vol.
32%
102-103°F
$53 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$89 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a sunny, hot day for Austin on August 30, 2026, with highs near 100°F under persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities on 98–99°F (48.5%) and 100–101°F (32%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s absent significant moisture or frontal activity. Heat indices may approach 104°F due to humidity, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Stable model runs over recent days have kept odds anchored, with limited scope for deviation unless an unexpected mesoscale feature develops before measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,277End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a sunny, hot day for Austin on August 30, 2026, with highs near 100°F under persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities on 98–99°F (48.5%) and 100–101°F (32%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s absent significant moisture or frontal activity. Heat indices may approach 104°F due to humidity, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Stable model runs over recent days have kept odds anchored, with limited scope for deviation unless an unexpected mesoscale feature develops before measurement at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,277End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a sunny, hot day for Austin on August 30, 2026, with highs near 100°F under persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This consensus supports the market's leading implied probabilities on 98–99°F (48.5%) and 100–101°F (32%), reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daytime heating peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s absent significant moisture or frontal activity. Heat indices may approach 104°F due to humidity, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Stable model runs over recent days have kept odds anchored, with limited scope for deviation unless an unexpected mesoscale feature develops before measurement at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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