**Clear skies, light winds, and stable high-pressure conditions have driven Cape Town temperatures to a confirmed daily maximum of 29°C on September 7, 2026.** Official observations and model consensus from sources including MeteoNews and aligned forecasts show afternoon peaks reaching this level under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average closer to 17–19°C, making this an above-normal but meteorologically consistent warm anomaly driven by the current synoptic setup. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader confidence in these verified readings, with resolution criteria tied to official station maxima. Minor variations in microsite measurements or late-day cooling could theoretically shift the exact peak, though current data show little room for deviation outside the narrow 28–30°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,713 Vol.
$48,713 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,713 Vol.
$48,713 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light winds, and stable high-pressure conditions have driven Cape Town temperatures to a confirmed daily maximum of 29°C on September 7, 2026.** Official observations and model consensus from sources including MeteoNews and aligned forecasts show afternoon peaks reaching this level under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical September baselines for the region average closer to 17–19°C, making this an above-normal but meteorologically consistent warm anomaly driven by the current synoptic setup. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader confidence in these verified readings, with resolution criteria tied to official station maxima. Minor variations in microsite measurements or late-day cooling could theoretically shift the exact peak, though current data show little room for deviation outside the narrow 28–30°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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