Short-term forecasts from NOAA and international meteorological agencies indicate moderate precipitation probabilities for September 8 driven by seasonal moisture patterns, including lingering tropical humidity and mid-latitude frontal boundaries. Model consensus highlights higher chances of measurable rain (0.01 inches or more) in parts of the tropics and southeastern U.S., with lower odds in drier mid-continental zones, though ensemble spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this range. Key variables include steering winds, atmospheric instability, and any tropical wave activity. Traders should watch the next National Weather Service model updates and local station reports, as these directly inform resolution criteria for city-specific markets. Historical September baselines show elevated rain frequency in monsoon and hurricane season regions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 8?
New York, NY
49%
Los Angeles, CA
48%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
48%
Phoenix, AZ
48%
Philadelphia, PA
49%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
49%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
49%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
66%
San Francisco, CA
49%
$58 Vol.
New York, NY
49%
Los Angeles, CA
48%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
48%
Phoenix, AZ
48%
Philadelphia, PA
49%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
49%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
49%
Seattle, WA
49%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
66%
San Francisco, CA
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Short-term forecasts from NOAA and international meteorological agencies indicate moderate precipitation probabilities for September 8 driven by seasonal moisture patterns, including lingering tropical humidity and mid-latitude frontal boundaries. Model consensus highlights higher chances of measurable rain (0.01 inches or more) in parts of the tropics and southeastern U.S., with lower odds in drier mid-continental zones, though ensemble spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this range. Key variables include steering winds, atmospheric instability, and any tropical wave activity. Traders should watch the next National Weather Service model updates and local station reports, as these directly inform resolution criteria for city-specific markets. Historical September baselines show elevated rain frequency in monsoon and hurricane season regions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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