**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 9, with models showing limited nighttime radiative cooling typical of the wet season.** High humidity (often 90%+), frequent cloud cover from thunderstorms, and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum close to recent observations around 25°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because short-range model runs can shift with updated precipitation and wind data, while the 25°C and 23°C buckets capture the most probable range based on historical September baselines. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which affects how much heat is trapped overnight, and any steering influences from broader Caribbean patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of the 24–48 hour window, when new model cycles typically resolve much of the remaining spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
23°C 88%
25°C 88%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
97%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
88%
24°C
49%
25°C
88%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
23°C 88%
25°C 88%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
97%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
88%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
88%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 9, with models showing limited nighttime radiative cooling typical of the wet season.** High humidity (often 90%+), frequent cloud cover from thunderstorms, and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum close to recent observations around 25°C.
Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because short-range model runs can shift with updated precipitation and wind data, while the 25°C and 23°C buckets capture the most probable range based on historical September baselines. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which affects how much heat is trapped overnight, and any steering influences from broader Caribbean patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of the 24–48 hour window, when new model cycles typically resolve much of the remaining spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 9, with models showing limited nighttime radiative cooling typical of the wet season.** High humidity (often 90%+), frequent cloud cover from thunderstorms, and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum close to recent observations around 25°C.
Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because short-range model runs can shift with updated precipitation and wind data, while the 25°C and 23°C buckets capture the most probable range based on historical September baselines. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which affects how much heat is trapped overnight, and any steering influences from broader Caribbean patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of the 24–48 hour window, when new model cycles typically resolve much of the remaining spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on September 9, with models showing limited nighttime radiative cooling typical of the wet season.** High humidity (often 90%+), frequent cloud cover from thunderstorms, and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone suppress temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum close to recent observations around 25°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes at or below 20°C and at or above 30°C because short-range model runs can shift with updated precipitation and wind data, while the 25°C and 23°C buckets capture the most probable range based on historical September baselines. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of evening convection, which affects how much heat is trapped overnight, and any steering influences from broader Caribbean patterns. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine these details ahead of the 24–48 hour window, when new model cycles typically resolve much of the remaining spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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