Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Panama City on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds typical of the late wet season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime convection and sea-breeze effects maintain elevated minimum temperatures. Historical September baselines for the area show average lows near 25°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent stronger easterly flow or clearer skies that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 25°C. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
6%
27°C 35%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
21°C
$12 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
14%
23°C
$12 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$16 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$12 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$12 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Panama City on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds typical of the late wet season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime convection and sea-breeze effects maintain elevated minimum temperatures. Historical September baselines for the area show average lows near 25°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent stronger easterly flow or clearer skies that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 25°C. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Panama City on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds typical of the late wet season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime convection and sea-breeze effects maintain elevated minimum temperatures. Historical September baselines for the area show average lows near 25°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent stronger easterly flow or clearer skies that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 25°C. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Panama City on September 8, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and light winds typical of the late wet season limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime convection and sea-breeze effects maintain elevated minimum temperatures. Historical September baselines for the area show average lows near 25°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent stronger easterly flow or clearer skies that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 25°C. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations expected overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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