Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily high near 24–25°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This pattern features a possible morning shower or thunderstorm with clearing skies by afternoon, limiting afternoon heating while preventing cooler air advection. Recent model consensus has held steady since mid-week, aligning closely with late-August climatological normals of roughly 23°C and showing no signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have thus concentrated implied probability on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the final forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
23%
24°C
24%
25°C
45%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
6%
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
24°C 24%
23°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$18 Vol.
45%
26°C
$22 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily high near 24–25°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This pattern features a possible morning shower or thunderstorm with clearing skies by afternoon, limiting afternoon heating while preventing cooler air advection. Recent model consensus has held steady since mid-week, aligning closely with late-August climatological normals of roughly 23°C and showing no signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have thus concentrated implied probability on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the final forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily high near 24–25°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This pattern features a possible morning shower or thunderstorm with clearing skies by afternoon, limiting afternoon heating while preventing cooler air advection. Recent model consensus has held steady since mid-week, aligning closely with late-August climatological normals of roughly 23°C and showing no signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have thus concentrated implied probability on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the final forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily high near 24–25°C in Munich on August 31 under westerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This pattern features a possible morning shower or thunderstorm with clearing skies by afternoon, limiting afternoon heating while preventing cooler air advection. Recent model consensus has held steady since mid-week, aligning closely with late-August climatological normals of roughly 23°C and showing no signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have thus concentrated implied probability on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow range typical of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the final forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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