Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 22.6°C due to warm air advection and high pressure favoring strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41% implied probability for exactly 27°C, aligns with this narrow range across ensemble runs, with only modest model spread. Final hourly observations from Munich stations will determine resolution, with minimal expected revision risk given stable guidance through the latest model cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 41%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
26%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8 Vol.
1%
24°C
$8 Vol.
2%
25°C
$398 Vol.
9%
26°C
$675 Vol.
26%
27°C
$426 Vol.
41%
28°C
$1,237 Vol.
16%
29°C
$218 Vol.
4%
30°C
$87 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 22.6°C due to warm air advection and high pressure favoring strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41% implied probability for exactly 27°C, aligns with this narrow range across ensemble runs, with only modest model spread. Final hourly observations from Munich stations will determine resolution, with minimal expected revision risk given stable guidance through the latest model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,296End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 22.6°C due to warm air advection and high pressure favoring strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41% implied probability for exactly 27°C, aligns with this narrow range across ensemble runs, with only modest model spread. Final hourly observations from Munich stations will determine resolution, with minimal expected revision risk given stable guidance through the latest model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,296End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a daytime high of 26–28°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of 22.6°C due to warm air advection and high pressure favoring strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 41% implied probability for exactly 27°C, aligns with this narrow range across ensemble runs, with only modest model spread. Final hourly observations from Munich stations will determine resolution, with minimal expected revision risk given stable guidance through the latest model cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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