Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 center on partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. LaGuardia Airport guidance points to a high near 84°F, while ensemble runs show limited spread around the mid-80s amid low precipitation odds and typical urban heat-island effects. These conditions position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as the leading outcomes, with modest downward bias from potential cloud timing or sea-breeze influences reflecting historical verification patterns for the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$374 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$46 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$231 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$670 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$488 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$486 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$616 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$118 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 center on partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. LaGuardia Airport guidance points to a high near 84°F, while ensemble runs show limited spread around the mid-80s amid low precipitation odds and typical urban heat-island effects. These conditions position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as the leading outcomes, with modest downward bias from potential cloud timing or sea-breeze influences reflecting historical verification patterns for the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,411End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 center on partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. LaGuardia Airport guidance points to a high near 84°F, while ensemble runs show limited spread around the mid-80s amid low precipitation odds and typical urban heat-island effects. These conditions position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as the leading outcomes, with modest downward bias from potential cloud timing or sea-breeze influences reflecting historical verification patterns for the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,411End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 center on partly sunny skies under a high-pressure ridge, with southwest winds of 5–10 mph and a 30–40% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. LaGuardia Airport guidance points to a high near 84°F, while ensemble runs show limited spread around the mid-80s amid low precipitation odds and typical urban heat-island effects. These conditions position the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins as the leading outcomes, with modest downward bias from potential cloud timing or sea-breeze influences reflecting historical verification patterns for the date. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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