Recent model consensus from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles points to clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on the night of August 30–31, supporting radiative cooling toward a low near 19°C. Recent rainfall on August 27–28 left elevated soil moisture that slightly tempers nocturnal temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August 31 lows average 19.4°C, placing the current setup close to climatology with modest model spread around 18–20°C driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Traders price the narrow range heavily because further forecast refinements before the 31st remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
16°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
20°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
5%
14°C
14%
15°C
15%
16°C
49%
17°C
21%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
40%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C or higher
2%
16°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
20°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles points to clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on the night of August 30–31, supporting radiative cooling toward a low near 19°C. Recent rainfall on August 27–28 left elevated soil moisture that slightly tempers nocturnal temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August 31 lows average 19.4°C, placing the current setup close to climatology with modest model spread around 18–20°C driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Traders price the narrow range heavily because further forecast refinements before the 31st remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles points to clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on the night of August 30–31, supporting radiative cooling toward a low near 19°C. Recent rainfall on August 27–28 left elevated soil moisture that slightly tempers nocturnal temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August 31 lows average 19.4°C, placing the current setup close to climatology with modest model spread around 18–20°C driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Traders price the narrow range heavily because further forecast refinements before the 31st remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles points to clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on the night of August 30–31, supporting radiative cooling toward a low near 19°C. Recent rainfall on August 27–28 left elevated soil moisture that slightly tempers nocturnal temperature drops, while light winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August 31 lows average 19.4°C, placing the current setup close to climatology with modest model spread around 18–20°C driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Traders price the narrow range heavily because further forecast refinements before the 31st remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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