Persistent high pressure and an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains have maintained clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover across North Texas, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to lows near 78–82°F under these conditions, with historical late-August averages around 75°F providing context for the warmer baseline. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80–85°F bins because small variations in wind speed, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before the calendar day ends, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
10%
90°F or higher
7%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
71°F or below
$35 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$135 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$135 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$105 Vol.
10%
90°F or higher
$105 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains have maintained clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover across North Texas, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to lows near 78–82°F under these conditions, with historical late-August averages around 75°F providing context for the warmer baseline. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80–85°F bins because small variations in wind speed, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before the calendar day ends, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$531End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains have maintained clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover across North Texas, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to lows near 78–82°F under these conditions, with historical late-August averages around 75°F providing context for the warmer baseline. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80–85°F bins because small variations in wind speed, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before the calendar day ends, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$531End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the southern Plains have maintained clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover across North Texas, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to lows near 78–82°F under these conditions, with historical late-August averages around 75°F providing context for the warmer baseline. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 80–85°F bins because small variations in wind speed, dew point, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by a degree or two before the calendar day ends, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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