**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on an overnight low in the low 60s°F for Denver on August 30, 2026, reflecting mild late-summer conditions with light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling.** Current guidance shows daytime highs near 88–90°F on the 30th followed by a Sunday-night low centered around 62°F (with ranges commonly cited as 56–64°F across ensembles). This sits well above the long-term average low of ~55°F for the date but aligns with the recent warm pattern of highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and overnight readings in the low-to-mid 60s. Dew points near 50°F and generally light southwesterly flow reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any lingering clouds or weak thunderstorm activity further moderates cooling. The tightly bunched market probabilities—led by 62–63°F at 35.5%, followed closely by 60–61°F (29%) and 64–65°F (28%)—capture genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 12–24 hours. Key variables that could shift the realized low by a degree or two include exact cloud-cover timing (clearer skies favor the lower bins via greater longwave heat loss) and minor wind or precipitation differences. Higher outcomes above 66°F or below 60°F carry lower implied odds consistent with current model consensus and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble spreads rather than historical climatology alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
64-65°F 37%
59°F or below 34%
62-63°F 34%
60-61°F 28%
59°F or below
34%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
34%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
5%
78°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 37%
59°F or below 34%
62-63°F 34%
60-61°F 28%
59°F or below
34%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
34%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
5%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on an overnight low in the low 60s°F for Denver on August 30, 2026, reflecting mild late-summer conditions with light winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme radiative cooling.** Current guidance shows daytime highs near 88–90°F on the 30th followed by a Sunday-night low centered around 62°F (with ranges commonly cited as 56–64°F across ensembles). This sits well above the long-term average low of ~55°F for the date but aligns with the recent warm pattern of highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and overnight readings in the low-to-mid 60s. Dew points near 50°F and generally light southwesterly flow reduce the potential for sharp drops, while any lingering clouds or weak thunderstorm activity further moderates cooling. The tightly bunched market probabilities—led by 62–63°F at 35.5%, followed closely by 60–61°F (29%) and 64–65°F (28%)—capture genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 12–24 hours. Key variables that could shift the realized low by a degree or two include exact cloud-cover timing (clearer skies favor the lower bins via greater longwave heat loss) and minor wind or precipitation differences. Higher outcomes above 66°F or below 60°F carry lower implied odds consistent with current model consensus and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble spreads rather than historical climatology alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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