Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a cool air mass and clear overnight conditions driving Munich's daily minimum temperature firmly into single digits Celsius on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain pricing of 10°C or below. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show lows settling near or below this threshold after daytime highs in the low 20s, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling under light winds can shave several degrees from climatological averages around 12–13°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings meeting the exact minimum criterion, with minimal upside risk from model spread or unexpected cloud cover that could limit cooling. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects high confidence in these verified meteorological patterns rather than any single outlier projection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
10°C or below 95.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,091 Vol.
$10,091 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 95.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,091 Vol.
$10,091 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$7,366 Vol.
95%
11°C
$633 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a cool air mass and clear overnight conditions driving Munich's daily minimum temperature firmly into single digits Celsius on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain pricing of 10°C or below. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show lows settling near or below this threshold after daytime highs in the low 20s, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling under light winds can shave several degrees from climatological averages around 12–13°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings meeting the exact minimum criterion, with minimal upside risk from model spread or unexpected cloud cover that could limit cooling. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects high confidence in these verified meteorological patterns rather than any single outlier projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,091End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a cool air mass and clear overnight conditions driving Munich's daily minimum temperature firmly into single digits Celsius on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain pricing of 10°C or below. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show lows settling near or below this threshold after daytime highs in the low 20s, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling under light winds can shave several degrees from climatological averages around 12–13°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings meeting the exact minimum criterion, with minimal upside risk from model spread or unexpected cloud cover that could limit cooling. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects high confidence in these verified meteorological patterns rather than any single outlier projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,091End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a cool air mass and clear overnight conditions driving Munich's daily minimum temperature firmly into single digits Celsius on August 29, supporting the market's near-certain pricing of 10°C or below. Surface observations and ensemble guidance show lows settling near or below this threshold after daytime highs in the low 20s, consistent with typical late-August variability where radiative cooling under light winds can shave several degrees from climatological averages around 12–13°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings meeting the exact minimum criterion, with minimal upside risk from model spread or unexpected cloud cover that could limit cooling. Traders' capital-weighted consensus reflects high confidence in these verified meteorological patterns rather than any single outlier projection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions