Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses show Shanghai's September 8 minimum temperature settling near 23–24°C under northerly winds of 10–15 km/h and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 7 feature daytime highs near 29–30°C with dew points in the low 20s, supporting modest diurnal ranges without significant frontal passages or moisture surges. This setup aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where minimums typically range 22–25°C absent unusual cooling. Trader consensus at 83.5% for 24°C reflects tight model agreement and the absence of new data indicating deviation, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or brief cloud variations that could nudge readings by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
24°C 84%
22°C 9%
25°C 9%
23°C 6%
NEW
$11,695 Vol.
NEW
$11,695 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
84%
25°C
9%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 84%
22°C 9%
25°C 9%
23°C 6%
NEW
$11,695 Vol.
NEW
$11,695 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$72 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,461 Vol.
6%
24°C
$5,124 Vol.
84%
25°C
$1,775 Vol.
9%
26°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$763 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses show Shanghai's September 8 minimum temperature settling near 23–24°C under northerly winds of 10–15 km/h and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 7 feature daytime highs near 29–30°C with dew points in the low 20s, supporting modest diurnal ranges without significant frontal passages or moisture surges. This setup aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where minimums typically range 22–25°C absent unusual cooling. Trader consensus at 83.5% for 24°C reflects tight model agreement and the absence of new data indicating deviation, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or brief cloud variations that could nudge readings by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,695End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses show Shanghai's September 8 minimum temperature settling near 23–24°C under northerly winds of 10–15 km/h and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 7 feature daytime highs near 29–30°C with dew points in the low 20s, supporting modest diurnal ranges without significant frontal passages or moisture surges. This setup aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where minimums typically range 22–25°C absent unusual cooling. Trader consensus at 83.5% for 24°C reflects tight model agreement and the absence of new data indicating deviation, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or brief cloud variations that could nudge readings by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,695End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses show Shanghai's September 8 minimum temperature settling near 23–24°C under northerly winds of 10–15 km/h and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Current conditions on September 7 feature daytime highs near 29–30°C with dew points in the low 20s, supporting modest diurnal ranges without significant frontal passages or moisture surges. This setup aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where minimums typically range 22–25°C absent unusual cooling. Trader consensus at 83.5% for 24°C reflects tight model agreement and the absence of new data indicating deviation, with only minor uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or brief cloud variations that could nudge readings by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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