Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows a fragmented contest for the two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numerical lead at 11% in the latest Datafolha survey, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%. High indecision—24% undecided plus 21% blank or null—combined with the state's large electorate and requirement for broad coalitions sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Candidate registration deadlines have now passed, shifting focus to campaign momentum, party alliances, and regional turnout dynamics ahead of the October vote, leaving room for shifts if any frontrunner consolidates support or faces late challenges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília Campos 53%
Carlos Viana 42.0%
Domingos Sávio 5.2%
Marcelo Aro 2.6%
$13,587 Vol.
$13,587 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Campos
53%
Carlos Viana
42%
Domingos Sávio
5%
Marcelo Aro
3%
Marco Antônio Superman
2%
Arcanjo Pimenta
2%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
1%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Áurea Carolina
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Marília Campos 53%
Carlos Viana 42.0%
Domingos Sávio 5.2%
Marcelo Aro 2.6%
$13,587 Vol.
$13,587 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Campos
$4,626 Vol.
53%
Carlos Viana
$2,732 Vol.
42%
Domingos Sávio
$287 Vol.
5%
Marcelo Aro
$2,357 Vol.
3%
Marco Antônio Superman
$225 Vol.
2%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$166 Vol.
2%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$166 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Heringer
$440 Vol.
<1%
Áurea Carolina
$481 Vol.
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$264 Vol.
<1%
Tião Pessoa
$195 Vol.
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
$250 Vol.
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$277 Vol.
<1%
Carlin Moura
$207 Vol.
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
$385 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
$233 Vol.
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
$295 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows a fragmented contest for the two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numerical lead at 11% in the latest Datafolha survey, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%. High indecision—24% undecided plus 21% blank or null—combined with the state's large electorate and requirement for broad coalitions sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Candidate registration deadlines have now passed, shifting focus to campaign momentum, party alliances, and regional turnout dynamics ahead of the October vote, leaving room for shifts if any frontrunner consolidates support or faces late challenges.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$13,587End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows a fragmented contest for the two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numerical lead at 11% in the latest Datafolha survey, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%. High indecision—24% undecided plus 21% blank or null—combined with the state's large electorate and requirement for broad coalitions sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Candidate registration deadlines have now passed, shifting focus to campaign momentum, party alliances, and regional turnout dynamics ahead of the October vote, leaving room for shifts if any frontrunner consolidates support or faces late challenges.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,587End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Minas Gerais shows a fragmented contest for the two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numerical lead at 11% in the latest Datafolha survey, followed closely by Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 5%. High indecision—24% undecided plus 21% blank or null—combined with the state's large electorate and requirement for broad coalitions sustains the tight positioning among top contenders. Candidate registration deadlines have now passed, shifting focus to campaign momentum, party alliances, and regional turnout dynamics ahead of the October vote, leaving room for shifts if any frontrunner consolidates support or faces late challenges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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