Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11 primary with 86% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson, who won her primary with 77%, in the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Stauber’s successive reelection victories including 58% in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The recent primaries produced no significant surprises or shifts, while the absence of major new polling or campaign developments in the past month has left the implied probabilities largely unchanged ahead of the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$20,700 Vol.
$20,700 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
$20,700 Vol.
$20,700 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,185 Vol.
85%
Democratic Party
$9,514 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11 primary with 86% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson, who won her primary with 77%, in the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Stauber’s successive reelection victories including 58% in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The recent primaries produced no significant surprises or shifts, while the absence of major new polling or campaign developments in the past month has left the implied probabilities largely unchanged ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$20,700End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11 primary with 86% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson, who won her primary with 77%, in the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Stauber’s successive reelection victories including 58% in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The recent primaries produced no significant surprises or shifts, while the absence of major new polling or campaign developments in the past month has left the implied probabilities largely unchanged ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,700End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber advanced from the August 11 primary with 86% of the vote and faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson, who won her primary with 77%, in the November 3 general election for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Stauber’s successive reelection victories including 58% in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The recent primaries produced no significant surprises or shifts, while the absence of major new polling or campaign developments in the past month has left the implied probabilities largely unchanged ahead of the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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