Recent declines in U.S. egg prices, driven by expanded supply following flock recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, anchor trader sentiment for the August 2026 dozen-egg benchmark near $2.10–$2.30. July 2026 retail averages stood at $2.189 per BLS data, with June at $2.14, reflecting a sharp drop from 2025 peaks above $6 amid 30.7% projected annual declines from USDA outlooks. Oversupply has compressed farmgate and wholesale levels—Midwest shell eggs traded near $0.25 per dozen in May—while feed, fuel, and labor costs remain elevated, creating margin pressure that limits further downside. With leading bins closely matched at 35.8% and 31.9% implied probability, resolution hinges on August production reports, any late-season HPAI detections, and consumer demand elasticity before the next CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.30–$2.40 38%
$2.10–$2.20 36.6%
$2.20–$2.30 25.1%
$2.40–$2.50 7%
$14,300 Vol.
$14,300 Vol.
<$1.80
1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
3%
$2.00–$2.10
5%
$2.10–$2.20
37%
$2.20–$2.30
25%
$2.30–$2.40
38%
$2.40–$2.50
7%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
<1%
$2.30–$2.40 38%
$2.10–$2.20 36.6%
$2.20–$2.30 25.1%
$2.40–$2.50 7%
$14,300 Vol.
$14,300 Vol.
<$1.80
1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
3%
$2.00–$2.10
5%
$2.10–$2.20
37%
$2.20–$2.30
25%
$2.30–$2.40
38%
$2.40–$2.50
7%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent declines in U.S. egg prices, driven by expanded supply following flock recovery from prior highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, anchor trader sentiment for the August 2026 dozen-egg benchmark near $2.10–$2.30. July 2026 retail averages stood at $2.189 per BLS data, with June at $2.14, reflecting a sharp drop from 2025 peaks above $6 amid 30.7% projected annual declines from USDA outlooks. Oversupply has compressed farmgate and wholesale levels—Midwest shell eggs traded near $0.25 per dozen in May—while feed, fuel, and labor costs remain elevated, creating margin pressure that limits further downside. With leading bins closely matched at 35.8% and 31.9% implied probability, resolution hinges on August production reports, any late-season HPAI detections, and consumer demand elasticity before the next CPI release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions