Russia's State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, features multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions, with over 1.5 million applications already submitted. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50–56% turnout because the 2021 benchmark sat near 52%, Kremlin mobilization targets have been quietly reduced amid economic pressures and conflict-related disruptions, and state-affiliated polls show stable but unsurging voter interest in a low-visibility campaign. Intensified public-sector drives, further electronic voting expansion, or shifts in regional participation could separate the bands, while sustained fatigue or external shocks would likely anchor results near the middle ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 29.8%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.1%
$52,719 Vol.
$52,719 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
27%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
12%
62%+
10%
53-56% 29.8%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 12.1%
$52,719 Vol.
$52,719 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$2,061 Vol.
1%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
13%
50-53%
$5,349 Vol.
27%
53-56%
$3,318 Vol.
30%
56-59%
$6,220 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,011 Vol.
12%
62%+
$24,325 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, features multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions, with over 1.5 million applications already submitted. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50–56% turnout because the 2021 benchmark sat near 52%, Kremlin mobilization targets have been quietly reduced amid economic pressures and conflict-related disruptions, and state-affiliated polls show stable but unsurging voter interest in a low-visibility campaign. Intensified public-sector drives, further electronic voting expansion, or shifts in regional participation could separate the bands, while sustained fatigue or external shocks would likely anchor results near the middle ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$52,719End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, features multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions, with over 1.5 million applications already submitted. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50–56% turnout because the 2021 benchmark sat near 52%, Kremlin mobilization targets have been quietly reduced amid economic pressures and conflict-related disruptions, and state-affiliated polls show stable but unsurging voter interest in a low-visibility campaign. Intensified public-sector drives, further electronic voting expansion, or shifts in regional participation could separate the bands, while sustained fatigue or external shocks would likely anchor results near the middle ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$52,719End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma election on September 18–20, 2026, features multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions, with over 1.5 million applications already submitted. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50–56% turnout because the 2021 benchmark sat near 52%, Kremlin mobilization targets have been quietly reduced amid economic pressures and conflict-related disruptions, and state-affiliated polls show stable but unsurging voter interest in a low-visibility campaign. Intensified public-sector drives, further electronic voting expansion, or shifts in regional participation could separate the bands, while sustained fatigue or external shocks would likely anchor results near the middle ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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