Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election places Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in a narrow band around 6–8 percent, with the most recent Verian and SCB surveys showing figures between 6.1 and 8 percent. This range, combined with modest month-to-month fluctuations and voter flows mainly involving the Liberals, has kept the 5–7 percent and 7–9 percent outcome bins nearly even in trader pricing. The party’s position outside both main blocs, its emphasis on liberal economic and rural policies, and limited movement in national sympathy surveys have sustained the tight contest. Further separation could emerge from final-week campaign events, turnout differences among centrist voters, or clearer shifts in coalition signaling ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7-9% 50%
5-7% 43%
<5% 7%
9%+ 6.4%
<5%
7%
5-7%
43%
7-9%
50%
9%+
6%
7-9% 50%
5-7% 43%
<5% 7%
9%+ 6.4%
<5%
7%
5-7%
43%
7-9%
50%
9%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election places Centre Party (Centerpartiet) support in a narrow band around 6–8 percent, with the most recent Verian and SCB surveys showing figures between 6.1 and 8 percent. This range, combined with modest month-to-month fluctuations and voter flows mainly involving the Liberals, has kept the 5–7 percent and 7–9 percent outcome bins nearly even in trader pricing. The party’s position outside both main blocs, its emphasis on liberal economic and rural policies, and limited movement in national sympathy surveys have sustained the tight contest. Further separation could emerge from final-week campaign events, turnout differences among centrist voters, or clearer shifts in coalition signaling ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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