Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District against Democrat Kristi Burke and several independents in the November 3 general election. The solidly Republican district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+29 and no Democratic win since the 19th century, delivered a 29-point Trump margin in 2024. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary, while Burke secured the Democratic nomination with over 76% in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$19,747 Vol.
$19,747 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$19,747 Vol.
$19,747 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,424 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,323 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District against Democrat Kristi Burke and several independents in the November 3 general election. The solidly Republican district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+29 and no Democratic win since the 19th century, delivered a 29-point Trump margin in 2024. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary, while Burke secured the Democratic nomination with over 76% in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,747End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District against Democrat Kristi Burke and several independents in the November 3 general election. The solidly Republican district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+29 and no Democratic win since the 19th century, delivered a 29-point Trump margin in 2024. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary, while Burke secured the Democratic nomination with over 76% in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,747End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger seeks reelection in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District against Democrat Kristi Burke and several independents in the November 3 general election. The solidly Republican district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+29 and no Democratic win since the 19th century, delivered a 29-point Trump margin in 2024. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary, while Burke secured the Democratic nomination with over 76% in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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