**No major Republican contenders have formally launched 2028 bids as of late August 2026, leaving "Other" at 50% amid minor declarations and ongoing speculation.** Rand Paul’s repeated statements weighing a run after the midterms, while carving out a free-market, non-interventionist lane, have lifted his share to 36%. Marjorie Taylor Greene and others trail further back with less visible positioning. Figures such as J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early nomination polling, remain focused on administration roles, reducing the chance they announce first. Recent exploratory steps by lesser-known candidates and the post-midterm timeline continue to shape trader views on timing and potential early movers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRon DeSantis 15%
J.D. Vance 13%
Ted Cruz 11%
Vivek Ramaswamy 10.0%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2027
Ron DeSantis
15%
J.D. Vance
13%
Ted Cruz
11%
Vivek Ramaswamy
14%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
3%
Glenn Youngkin
<1%
Rand Paul
34%
Ron DeSantis 15%
J.D. Vance 13%
Ted Cruz 11%
Vivek Ramaswamy 10.0%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2027
Ron DeSantis
$195 Vol.
15%
J.D. Vance
$404 Vol.
13%
Ted Cruz
$4,557 Vol.
11%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$269 Vol.
14%
Donald Trump Jr.
$166 Vol.
6%
Marco Rubio
$419 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump
$894 Vol.
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$140 Vol.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
$181 Vol.
<1%
Rand Paul
$998 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No major Republican contenders have formally launched 2028 bids as of late August 2026, leaving "Other" at 50% amid minor declarations and ongoing speculation.** Rand Paul’s repeated statements weighing a run after the midterms, while carving out a free-market, non-interventionist lane, have lifted his share to 36%. Marjorie Taylor Greene and others trail further back with less visible positioning. Figures such as J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early nomination polling, remain focused on administration roles, reducing the chance they announce first. Recent exploratory steps by lesser-known candidates and the post-midterm timeline continue to shape trader views on timing and potential early movers.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$8,221End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No major Republican contenders have formally launched 2028 bids as of late August 2026, leaving "Other" at 50% amid minor declarations and ongoing speculation.** Rand Paul’s repeated statements weighing a run after the midterms, while carving out a free-market, non-interventionist lane, have lifted his share to 36%. Marjorie Taylor Greene and others trail further back with less visible positioning. Figures such as J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early nomination polling, remain focused on administration roles, reducing the chance they announce first. Recent exploratory steps by lesser-known candidates and the post-midterm timeline continue to shape trader views on timing and potential early movers.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,221End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**No major Republican contenders have formally launched 2028 bids as of late August 2026, leaving "Other" at 50% amid minor declarations and ongoing speculation.** Rand Paul’s repeated statements weighing a run after the midterms, while carving out a free-market, non-interventionist lane, have lifted his share to 36%. Marjorie Taylor Greene and others trail further back with less visible positioning. Figures such as J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early nomination polling, remain focused on administration roles, reducing the chance they announce first. Recent exploratory steps by lesser-known candidates and the post-midterm timeline continue to shape trader views on timing and potential early movers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions