Trader sentiment for the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share in the week of August 31 shows a tight race, with OpenAI at a modest 55% implied probability amid several contenders clustered near 50%. This reflects intense competition in the large language model routing platform, where developers prioritize factors like inference speed, cost per token, context window size, and specialized capabilities in coding or multimodal tasks. Z.ai and Google trail closely due to strong benchmark results and broad ecosystem integration, while DeepSeek, Tencent, and others gain traction through competitive pricing and regional adoption. Recent model updates and platform optimizations have kept shares fluid, with any shifts in user traffic or new feature rollouts likely to influence final rankings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI 41%
Z.ai 17%
Google 12%
DeepSeek 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
OpenAI
55%
Z.ai
17%
12%
DeepSeek
9%
Meta
5%
xAI
5%
Tencent
5%
MiniMax
5%
Nvidia
5%
Qwen
5%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
5%
OpenAI 41%
Z.ai 17%
Google 12%
DeepSeek 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
OpenAI
$172 Vol.
55%
Z.ai
$18 Vol.
17%
$38 Vol.
12%
DeepSeek
$108 Vol.
9%
Meta
$18 Vol.
5%
xAI
$66 Vol.
5%
Tencent
$116 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$18 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$91 Vol.
5%
Qwen
$18 Vol.
5%
Xiaomi
$28 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$18 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Trader sentiment for the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share in the week of August 31 shows a tight race, with OpenAI at a modest 55% implied probability amid several contenders clustered near 50%. This reflects intense competition in the large language model routing platform, where developers prioritize factors like inference speed, cost per token, context window size, and specialized capabilities in coding or multimodal tasks. Z.ai and Google trail closely due to strong benchmark results and broad ecosystem integration, while DeepSeek, Tencent, and others gain traction through competitive pricing and regional adoption. Recent model updates and platform optimizations have kept shares fluid, with any shifts in user traffic or new feature rollouts likely to influence final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$709End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Trader sentiment for the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share in the week of August 31 shows a tight race, with OpenAI at a modest 55% implied probability amid several contenders clustered near 50%. This reflects intense competition in the large language model routing platform, where developers prioritize factors like inference speed, cost per token, context window size, and specialized capabilities in coding or multimodal tasks. Z.ai and Google trail closely due to strong benchmark results and broad ecosystem integration, while DeepSeek, Tencent, and others gain traction through competitive pricing and regional adoption. Recent model updates and platform optimizations have kept shares fluid, with any shifts in user traffic or new feature rollouts likely to influence final rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$709End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share in the week of August 31 shows a tight race, with OpenAI at a modest 55% implied probability amid several contenders clustered near 50%. This reflects intense competition in the large language model routing platform, where developers prioritize factors like inference speed, cost per token, context window size, and specialized capabilities in coding or multimodal tasks. Z.ai and Google trail closely due to strong benchmark results and broad ecosystem integration, while DeepSeek, Tencent, and others gain traction through competitive pricing and regional adoption. Recent model updates and platform optimizations have kept shares fluid, with any shifts in user traffic or new feature rollouts likely to influence final rankings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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