Jaques Wagner holds a commanding position in the Bahia Senate race for second place due to consistent polling trends showing him trailing PT colleague Rui Costa while leading fragmented opposition candidates. Recent surveys from late July and early August, including Paraná Pesquisas, placed Costa near 45% and Wagner around 35%, with figures such as João Roma and Angelo Coronel in the low 20s. As an incumbent PT senator seeking re-election in a state where the party maintains strong organizational advantages, Wagner benefits from high name recognition and consolidated support within the Workers’ Party base. Low odds for Costa and minor candidates reflect expectations that the two leading PT contenders will occupy the top spots on October 4, 2026, barring major shifts from late-campaign events or turnout changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Jaques Wagner 72%
Rui Costa 7.7%
Carlos Sodré <1%
Professora Delliana <1%
$10,130 Vol.
$10,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
72%
Rui Costa
8%
Carlos Sodré
1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Angelo Coronel
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Jaques Wagner 72%
Rui Costa 7.7%
Carlos Sodré <1%
Professora Delliana <1%
$10,130 Vol.
$10,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$4,579 Vol.
72%
Rui Costa
$2,330 Vol.
8%
Carlos Sodré
$272 Vol.
1%
Professora Delliana
$466 Vol.
<1%
Angelo Coronel
$265 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$311 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$267 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$387 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$586 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$667 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds a commanding position in the Bahia Senate race for second place due to consistent polling trends showing him trailing PT colleague Rui Costa while leading fragmented opposition candidates. Recent surveys from late July and early August, including Paraná Pesquisas, placed Costa near 45% and Wagner around 35%, with figures such as João Roma and Angelo Coronel in the low 20s. As an incumbent PT senator seeking re-election in a state where the party maintains strong organizational advantages, Wagner benefits from high name recognition and consolidated support within the Workers’ Party base. Low odds for Costa and minor candidates reflect expectations that the two leading PT contenders will occupy the top spots on October 4, 2026, barring major shifts from late-campaign events or turnout changes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,130End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds a commanding position in the Bahia Senate race for second place due to consistent polling trends showing him trailing PT colleague Rui Costa while leading fragmented opposition candidates. Recent surveys from late July and early August, including Paraná Pesquisas, placed Costa near 45% and Wagner around 35%, with figures such as João Roma and Angelo Coronel in the low 20s. As an incumbent PT senator seeking re-election in a state where the party maintains strong organizational advantages, Wagner benefits from high name recognition and consolidated support within the Workers’ Party base. Low odds for Costa and minor candidates reflect expectations that the two leading PT contenders will occupy the top spots on October 4, 2026, barring major shifts from late-campaign events or turnout changes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,130End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jaques Wagner holds a commanding position in the Bahia Senate race for second place due to consistent polling trends showing him trailing PT colleague Rui Costa while leading fragmented opposition candidates. Recent surveys from late July and early August, including Paraná Pesquisas, placed Costa near 45% and Wagner around 35%, with figures such as João Roma and Angelo Coronel in the low 20s. As an incumbent PT senator seeking re-election in a state where the party maintains strong organizational advantages, Wagner benefits from high name recognition and consolidated support within the Workers’ Party base. Low odds for Costa and minor candidates reflect expectations that the two leading PT contenders will occupy the top spots on October 4, 2026, barring major shifts from late-campaign events or turnout changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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