Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned services and regional monitoring show Jeddah highs stabilizing near 36–38°C on September 8, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal patterns with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 45–60%. These conditions favor peak readings near the 37°C level most favored by traders, consistent with historical September averages of 35–37°C and the absence of stronger steering flows or clear-sky extremes that could push toward 39°C or drop below 36°C. Updated model runs through September 7 confirm minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range ahead of official daily maximum reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
37°C 41%
36°C 25%
38°C 25%
39°C or higher 8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
25%
37°C
41%
38°C
25%
39°C or higher
8%
37°C 41%
36°C 25%
38°C 25%
39°C or higher 8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
25%
37°C
41%
38°C
25%
39°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned services and regional monitoring show Jeddah highs stabilizing near 36–38°C on September 8, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal patterns with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity around 45–60%. These conditions favor peak readings near the 37°C level most favored by traders, consistent with historical September averages of 35–37°C and the absence of stronger steering flows or clear-sky extremes that could push toward 39°C or drop below 36°C. Updated model runs through September 7 confirm minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 36–38°C range ahead of official daily maximum reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions