Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Jeddah on September 8 near 27–30°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity near 70–80% and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of roughly 27°C minimums and explains the near-even market split between the <=24°C and >=34°C brackets, as traders weigh small model spreads in cloud cover and dew points against the narrow historical range. No major weather systems or anomalous steering patterns are indicated, keeping resolution likely within the 25–32°C band where individual temperature contracts trade near 25% each. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
24°C or below 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
98%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
50%
32°C
50%
33°C
50%
34°C or higher
48%
24°C or below 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$139 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
50%
32°C
$0 Vol.
50%
33°C
$0 Vol.
50%
34°C or higher
$49 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Jeddah on September 8 near 27–30°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity near 70–80% and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of roughly 27°C minimums and explains the near-even market split between the <=24°C and >=34°C brackets, as traders weigh small model spreads in cloud cover and dew points against the narrow historical range. No major weather systems or anomalous steering patterns are indicated, keeping resolution likely within the 25–32°C band where individual temperature contracts trade near 25% each. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$188End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Jeddah on September 8 near 27–30°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity near 70–80% and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of roughly 27°C minimums and explains the near-even market split between the <=24°C and >=34°C brackets, as traders weigh small model spreads in cloud cover and dew points against the narrow historical range. No major weather systems or anomalous steering patterns are indicated, keeping resolution likely within the 25–32°C band where individual temperature contracts trade near 25% each. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$188End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Jeddah on September 8 near 27–30°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity near 70–80% and light northwest winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of roughly 27°C minimums and explains the near-even market split between the <=24°C and >=34°C brackets, as traders weigh small model spreads in cloud cover and dew points against the narrow historical range. No major weather systems or anomalous steering patterns are indicated, keeping resolution likely within the 25–32°C band where individual temperature contracts trade near 25% each. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions