Recent forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological service and international models project daily maximum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur of 33–34 °C for September 9, consistent with the September climatological mean of 32–33 °C at the Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport station. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and possible haze from regional biomass burning are expected to limit extreme heating, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term average while making 35 °C or higher less probable. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 33 °C outcome at 39.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official outlooks and historical distributions where 32–34 °C accounts for the majority of September daily maxima. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 9?
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 8%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
40%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 8%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
40%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Malaysia's meteorological service and international models project daily maximum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur of 33–34 °C for September 9, consistent with the September climatological mean of 32–33 °C at the Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport station. High humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and possible haze from regional biomass burning are expected to limit extreme heating, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term average while making 35 °C or higher less probable. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 33 °C outcome at 39.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official outlooks and historical distributions where 32–34 °C accounts for the majority of September daily maxima. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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