**Recent official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department project a minimum of 24°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 8, amid ongoing strong El Niño conditions that favor drier Southwest Monsoon patterns and reduced cloud cover.** This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C, though short-term model runs show overnight lows ranging 24–26°C depending on localized factors like urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80–90%, and any evening thunderstorms that could enhance radiative cooling or trap heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24–26°C because tropical minimum temperatures hinge on subtle differences in nocturnal cloud cover, wind speed, and precipitation timing—variables that diverge across ensembles even 24 hours out. A slim chance for 20°C or below reflects rare historical outliers under clearer, drier nights, while warmer outcomes above 27°C remain improbable given typical post-sunset cooling rates. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and regional model consensus releases will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 8?
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
27°C 50%
25°C 31%
20°C or below
30%
21°C
25%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
27°C 50%
25°C 31%
20°C or below
30%
21°C
25%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department project a minimum of 24°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 8, amid ongoing strong El Niño conditions that favor drier Southwest Monsoon patterns and reduced cloud cover.** This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C, though short-term model runs show overnight lows ranging 24–26°C depending on localized factors like urban heat retention, humidity levels near 80–90%, and any evening thunderstorms that could enhance radiative cooling or trap heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24–26°C because tropical minimum temperatures hinge on subtle differences in nocturnal cloud cover, wind speed, and precipitation timing—variables that diverge across ensembles even 24 hours out. A slim chance for 20°C or below reflects rare historical outliers under clearer, drier nights, while warmer outcomes above 27°C remain improbable given typical post-sunset cooling rates. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and regional model consensus releases will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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