Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high of 89–90°F in Miami on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeast winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F and recent model runs showing no strong ridging or cold front to push temperatures outside the 88–92°F window. Heat indices near 105°F reflect abundant moisture rather than extreme air temperatures, while scattered cloud cover and sea-breeze effects further moderate peaks. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads released overnight reinforce trader focus on the 90–91°F bin as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 27?
90-91°F 52%
88-89°F 20%
92-93°F 17%
86-87°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
52%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
4%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 52%
88-89°F 20%
92-93°F 17%
86-87°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$98 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$33 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$67 Vol.
52%
92-93°F
$72 Vol.
17%
94-95°F
$48 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high of 89–90°F in Miami on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeast winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F and recent model runs showing no strong ridging or cold front to push temperatures outside the 88–92°F window. Heat indices near 105°F reflect abundant moisture rather than extreme air temperatures, while scattered cloud cover and sea-breeze effects further moderate peaks. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads released overnight reinforce trader focus on the 90–91°F bin as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$318End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high of 89–90°F in Miami on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeast winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F and recent model runs showing no strong ridging or cold front to push temperatures outside the 88–92°F window. Heat indices near 105°F reflect abundant moisture rather than extreme air temperatures, while scattered cloud cover and sea-breeze effects further moderate peaks. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads released overnight reinforce trader focus on the 90–91°F bin as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$318End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high of 89–90°F in Miami on August 27, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeast winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that cap daytime heating. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F and recent model runs showing no strong ridging or cold front to push temperatures outside the 88–92°F window. Heat indices near 105°F reflect abundant moisture rather than extreme air temperatures, while scattered cloud cover and sea-breeze effects further moderate peaks. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads released overnight reinforce trader focus on the 90–91°F bin as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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