Illinois's 8th congressional district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs such as Elgin and Schaumburg, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened when incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by former Representative Melissa Bean and a Republican primary won by Jennifer Davis. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bean's prior congressional experience and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting Bean, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout, or unusually low Democratic participation in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
$21,494 Vol.
$21,494 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,494 Vol.
$21,494 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,791 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,703 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 8th congressional district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs such as Elgin and Schaumburg, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened when incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by former Representative Melissa Bean and a Republican primary won by Jennifer Davis. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bean's prior congressional experience and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting Bean, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout, or unusually low Democratic participation in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,494End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 8th congressional district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs such as Elgin and Schaumburg, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened when incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by former Representative Melissa Bean and a Republican primary won by Jennifer Davis. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bean's prior congressional experience and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting Bean, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout, or unusually low Democratic participation in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,494End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 8th congressional district, encompassing western Chicago suburbs such as Elgin and Schaumburg, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened when incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, leading to a March 2026 Democratic primary won by former Representative Melissa Bean and a Republican primary won by Jennifer Davis. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bean's prior congressional experience and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a significant personal or campaign scandal affecting Bean, an unexpected national Republican surge altering turnout, or unusually low Democratic participation in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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