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Politics·Taiwan

Keelung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Keelung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Keelung Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Hsieh Kuo-liang

Hsieh Kuo-liang

$1,107 Vol.

86%

icon for Tung Tzu-wei

Tung Tzu-wei

$646 Vol.

12%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the Keelung mayoral race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his re-election prospects. As the sitting mayor who survived a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, Hsieh benefits from the city's historical KMT lean and recent district-level polling released in mid-August showing leads of 8 to 17 points over DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, alongside satisfaction ratings above 55 percent in multiple areas. Tung, a young city council speaker from a political family, has shown strength among younger voters in earlier surveys, yet the gap has widened in favor of the incumbent amid ongoing campaign activity focused on local infrastructure and governance delivery. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar Taiwanese municipalities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,753
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the Keelung mayoral race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his re-election prospects. As the sitting mayor who survived a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, Hsieh benefits from the city's historical KMT lean and recent district-level polling released in mid-August showing leads of 8 to 17 points over DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei, alongside satisfaction ratings above 55 percent in multiple areas. Tung, a young city council speaker from a political family, has shown strength among younger voters in earlier surveys, yet the gap has widened in favor of the incumbent amid ongoing campaign activity focused on local infrastructure and governance delivery. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for incumbents in similar Taiwanese municipalities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,753
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Keelung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hsieh Kuo-liang" at 86%, followed by "Tung Tzu-wei" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Keelung Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Keelung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Keelung Mayor Election Winner" is "Hsieh Kuo-liang" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tung Tzu-wei" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Keelung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.