Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with typical early-spring conditions influenced by the South Atlantic High. Radiational cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover, dew point depression, and any strengthening of the southeasterly flow, which can limit temperature drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in the exact low, with some runs favoring slightly cooler readings near 13–14°C if skies remain clearer longer and others holding above 16°C amid subtle warm advection. This uncertainty, combined with normal seasonal variability around the 14–15°C September baseline, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across cooler, mid-range, and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
11°C or below 71%
21°C or higher 68%
13°C 50%
19°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
71%
12°C
16%
13°C
50%
14°C
25%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
50%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
68%
11°C or below 71%
21°C or higher 68%
13°C 50%
19°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
71%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$5 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$399 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with typical early-spring conditions influenced by the South Atlantic High. Radiational cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover, dew point depression, and any strengthening of the southeasterly flow, which can limit temperature drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in the exact low, with some runs favoring slightly cooler readings near 13–14°C if skies remain clearer longer and others holding above 16°C amid subtle warm advection. This uncertainty, combined with normal seasonal variability around the 14–15°C September baseline, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across cooler, mid-range, and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Volume
$409End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with typical early-spring conditions influenced by the South Atlantic High. Radiational cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover, dew point depression, and any strengthening of the southeasterly flow, which can limit temperature drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in the exact low, with some runs favoring slightly cooler readings near 13–14°C if skies remain clearer longer and others holding above 16°C amid subtle warm advection. This uncertainty, combined with normal seasonal variability around the 14–15°C September baseline, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across cooler, mid-range, and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$409End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 point to a minimum temperature near 15–17°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, consistent with typical early-spring conditions influenced by the South Atlantic High. Radiational cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover, dew point depression, and any strengthening of the southeasterly flow, which can limit temperature drops. Model consensus shows modest spread in the exact low, with some runs favoring slightly cooler readings near 13–14°C if skies remain clearer longer and others holding above 16°C amid subtle warm advection. This uncertainty, combined with normal seasonal variability around the 14–15°C September baseline, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across cooler, mid-range, and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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