Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 28 minimum temperature shows near-even odds between sub-20°C and 29°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS display substantial spread in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal cloud cover. The Sichuan basin's topography often traps humid air masses during late-summer monsoon flow, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 24–26°C under partly cloudy conditions or allow sharper drops if clear skies and drier northerly advection develop. Recent model runs indicate modest differences in precipitation timing that could shift minimum readings by several degrees. Next high-resolution updates from the China Meteorological Administration and additional satellite-derived moisture profiles will likely narrow the current uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 95%
23°C 90%
27°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
99%
20°C
87%
21°C
87%
22°C
87%
23°C
90%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
48%
27°C
90%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
95%
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 95%
23°C 90%
27°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$27 Vol.
99%
20°C
$27 Vol.
87%
21°C
$27 Vol.
87%
22°C
$27 Vol.
87%
23°C
$0 Vol.
90%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
90%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 28 minimum temperature shows near-even odds between sub-20°C and 29°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS display substantial spread in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal cloud cover. The Sichuan basin's topography often traps humid air masses during late-summer monsoon flow, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 24–26°C under partly cloudy conditions or allow sharper drops if clear skies and drier northerly advection develop. Recent model runs indicate modest differences in precipitation timing that could shift minimum readings by several degrees. Next high-resolution updates from the China Meteorological Administration and additional satellite-derived moisture profiles will likely narrow the current uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 28 minimum temperature shows near-even odds between sub-20°C and 29°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS display substantial spread in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal cloud cover. The Sichuan basin's topography often traps humid air masses during late-summer monsoon flow, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 24–26°C under partly cloudy conditions or allow sharper drops if clear skies and drier northerly advection develop. Recent model runs indicate modest differences in precipitation timing that could shift minimum readings by several degrees. Next high-resolution updates from the China Meteorological Administration and additional satellite-derived moisture profiles will likely narrow the current uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 28 minimum temperature shows near-even odds between sub-20°C and 29°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS display substantial spread in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal cloud cover. The Sichuan basin's topography often traps humid air masses during late-summer monsoon flow, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 24–26°C under partly cloudy conditions or allow sharper drops if clear skies and drier northerly advection develop. Recent model runs indicate modest differences in precipitation timing that could shift minimum readings by several degrees. Next high-resolution updates from the China Meteorological Administration and additional satellite-derived moisture profiles will likely narrow the current uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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