**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across Houston ahead of September 8.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a Tuesday low in the upper 70s to low 80s°F (most commonly cited near 78–81°F), consistent with the market’s leading bins at 80–81°F (44%) and 78–79°F (33%). Key drivers include strong Gulf moisture sustaining high dew points, light southeast winds, and mostly clear nocturnal skies that limit radiative cooling from already-warm daytime readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with observed lows in the upper 70s to 80°F and no significant cold-front passage or drier air mass expected to arrive before Tuesday night. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (20–40%) may briefly enhance cloud cover but are unlikely to alter the overall warm, humid boundary layer. Climatologically, the September 8 average low is around 74°F, but the current pattern reflects an extension of August-like heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration on the 78–81°F range while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 76°F or warmer readings above 82°F. Updated NWS guidance or overnight observations could refine the exact low, but the warm, moist regime remains the dominant factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 8?
78-79°F 56%
74-75°F 45%
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 56%
74-75°F 45%
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
71°F or below
$239 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$158 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
45%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
24%
78-79°F
$49 Vol.
56%
80-81°F
$309 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$19 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
45%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$30 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$234 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across Houston ahead of September 8.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a Tuesday low in the upper 70s to low 80s°F (most commonly cited near 78–81°F), consistent with the market’s leading bins at 80–81°F (44%) and 78–79°F (33%).
Key drivers include strong Gulf moisture sustaining high dew points, light southeast winds, and mostly clear nocturnal skies that limit radiative cooling from already-warm daytime readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with observed lows in the upper 70s to 80°F and no significant cold-front passage or drier air mass expected to arrive before Tuesday night. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (20–40%) may briefly enhance cloud cover but are unlikely to alter the overall warm, humid boundary layer.
Climatologically, the September 8 average low is around 74°F, but the current pattern reflects an extension of August-like heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration on the 78–81°F range while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 76°F or warmer readings above 82°F. Updated NWS guidance or overnight observations could refine the exact low, but the warm, moist regime remains the dominant factor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$699End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across Houston ahead of September 8.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a Tuesday low in the upper 70s to low 80s°F (most commonly cited near 78–81°F), consistent with the market’s leading bins at 80–81°F (44%) and 78–79°F (33%).
Key drivers include strong Gulf moisture sustaining high dew points, light southeast winds, and mostly clear nocturnal skies that limit radiative cooling from already-warm daytime readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with observed lows in the upper 70s to 80°F and no significant cold-front passage or drier air mass expected to arrive before Tuesday night. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (20–40%) may briefly enhance cloud cover but are unlikely to alter the overall warm, humid boundary layer.
Climatologically, the September 8 average low is around 74°F, but the current pattern reflects an extension of August-like heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration on the 78–81°F range while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 76°F or warmer readings above 82°F. Updated NWS guidance or overnight observations could refine the exact low, but the warm, moist regime remains the dominant factor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$699End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer warmth and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across Houston ahead of September 8.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other sources project a Tuesday low in the upper 70s to low 80s°F (most commonly cited near 78–81°F), consistent with the market’s leading bins at 80–81°F (44%) and 78–79°F (33%). Key drivers include strong Gulf moisture sustaining high dew points, light southeast winds, and mostly clear nocturnal skies that limit radiative cooling from already-warm daytime readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent days have featured similar conditions, with observed lows in the upper 70s to 80°F and no significant cold-front passage or drier air mass expected to arrive before Tuesday night. Afternoon thunderstorm chances (20–40%) may briefly enhance cloud cover but are unlikely to alter the overall warm, humid boundary layer. Climatologically, the September 8 average low is around 74°F, but the current pattern reflects an extension of August-like heat. Model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s concentration on the 78–81°F range while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 76°F or warmer readings above 82°F. Updated NWS guidance or overnight observations could refine the exact low, but the warm, moist regime remains the dominant factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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