**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a minimum temperature near 78–80°F on September 9, amid humid conditions and a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent high dew points near 75°F and light easterly winds are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal average of ~74°F. Thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could enhance mixing and nudge the minimum a few degrees lower, while any delay in storm development or stronger subsidence might hold readings closer to 80°F or above. With resolution thresholds clustered around these values and only two days remaining, updated NWS forecast discussions and mesoscale model runs will be the primary near-term drivers of trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 50%
82-83°F 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
44%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
49%
90°F or higher
46%
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
76-77°F 50%
82-83°F 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
50%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
50%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$13 Vol.
50%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
50%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
49%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
49%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a minimum temperature near 78–80°F on September 9, amid humid conditions and a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent high dew points near 75°F and light easterly winds are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal average of ~74°F. Thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could enhance mixing and nudge the minimum a few degrees lower, while any delay in storm development or stronger subsidence might hold readings closer to 80°F or above. With resolution thresholds clustered around these values and only two days remaining, updated NWS forecast discussions and mesoscale model runs will be the primary near-term drivers of trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$13End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a minimum temperature near 78–80°F on September 9, amid humid conditions and a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent high dew points near 75°F and light easterly winds are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal average of ~74°F. Thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could enhance mixing and nudge the minimum a few degrees lower, while any delay in storm development or stronger subsidence might hold readings closer to 80°F or above. With resolution thresholds clustered around these values and only two days remaining, updated NWS forecast discussions and mesoscale model runs will be the primary near-term drivers of trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston points to a minimum temperature near 78–80°F on September 9, amid humid conditions and a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent high dew points near 75°F and light easterly winds are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s rather than the seasonal average of ~74°F. Thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could enhance mixing and nudge the minimum a few degrees lower, while any delay in storm development or stronger subsidence might hold readings closer to 80°F or above. With resolution thresholds clustered around these values and only two days remaining, updated NWS forecast discussions and mesoscale model runs will be the primary near-term drivers of trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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