Official Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 29, 2026, show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwesterly flow limiting radiational cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a minimum near 15–17 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C reflecting consensus on modest overnight drops despite showers. Minor variations in frontal timing across models introduce slight uncertainty in the exact low, while historical late-August baselines place typical minima near 14–16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for the lowest reading at the designated site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 29?
Lowest temperature in London on August 29?
18°C 82%
17°C 8%
16°C 2.0%
15°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
29%
18°C
82%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 82%
17°C 8%
16°C 2.0%
15°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$565 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,427 Vol.
2%
17°C
$2,098 Vol.
29%
18°C
$997 Vol.
82%
19°C
$590 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 29, 2026, show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwesterly flow limiting radiational cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a minimum near 15–17 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C reflecting consensus on modest overnight drops despite showers. Minor variations in frontal timing across models introduce slight uncertainty in the exact low, while historical late-August baselines place typical minima near 14–16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for the lowest reading at the designated site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,961End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 29, 2026, show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwesterly flow limiting radiational cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a minimum near 15–17 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C reflecting consensus on modest overnight drops despite showers. Minor variations in frontal timing across models introduce slight uncertainty in the exact low, while historical late-August baselines place typical minima near 14–16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for the lowest reading at the designated site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,961End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on August 29, 2026, show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwesterly flow limiting radiational cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a minimum near 15–17 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C reflecting consensus on modest overnight drops despite showers. Minor variations in frontal timing across models introduce slight uncertainty in the exact low, while historical late-August baselines place typical minima near 14–16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for the lowest reading at the designated site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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