Forecast consensus from the Met Office and supporting models positions 23°C as the leading outcome for London's maximum temperature on August 30, with trader-implied odds at 50% reflecting this central projection amid a regime of southwest winds, variable cloud, and isolated showers. Recent model runs indicate afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with limited intensification potential from daytime heating under partly sunny spells. The 22°C outcome at 33.5% captures downside risks from heavier cloud cover or showers suppressing peaks, while the 9% on 24°C accounts for clearer intervals allowing modest warming. These probabilities align with official guidance showing a maximum around 23°C and minimum near 15°C, with resolution hinging on verified observations at standard stations. Updated forecast briefings over the next 24 hours could refine the distribution if convective activity shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 30?
Highest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
24°C 9%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$475 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$546 Vol.
3%
21°C
$689 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,123 Vol.
34%
23°C
$2,346 Vol.
50%
24°C
$741 Vol.
9%
25°C
$450 Vol.
3%
26°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$486 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Met Office and supporting models positions 23°C as the leading outcome for London's maximum temperature on August 30, with trader-implied odds at 50% reflecting this central projection amid a regime of southwest winds, variable cloud, and isolated showers. Recent model runs indicate afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with limited intensification potential from daytime heating under partly sunny spells. The 22°C outcome at 33.5% captures downside risks from heavier cloud cover or showers suppressing peaks, while the 9% on 24°C accounts for clearer intervals allowing modest warming. These probabilities align with official guidance showing a maximum around 23°C and minimum near 15°C, with resolution hinging on verified observations at standard stations. Updated forecast briefings over the next 24 hours could refine the distribution if convective activity shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$8,394End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Met Office and supporting models positions 23°C as the leading outcome for London's maximum temperature on August 30, with trader-implied odds at 50% reflecting this central projection amid a regime of southwest winds, variable cloud, and isolated showers. Recent model runs indicate afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with limited intensification potential from daytime heating under partly sunny spells. The 22°C outcome at 33.5% captures downside risks from heavier cloud cover or showers suppressing peaks, while the 9% on 24°C accounts for clearer intervals allowing modest warming. These probabilities align with official guidance showing a maximum around 23°C and minimum near 15°C, with resolution hinging on verified observations at standard stations. Updated forecast briefings over the next 24 hours could refine the distribution if convective activity shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,394End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Met Office and supporting models positions 23°C as the leading outcome for London's maximum temperature on August 30, with trader-implied odds at 50% reflecting this central projection amid a regime of southwest winds, variable cloud, and isolated showers. Recent model runs indicate afternoon highs near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with limited intensification potential from daytime heating under partly sunny spells. The 22°C outcome at 33.5% captures downside risks from heavier cloud cover or showers suppressing peaks, while the 9% on 24°C accounts for clearer intervals allowing modest warming. These probabilities align with official guidance showing a maximum around 23°C and minimum near 15°C, with resolution hinging on verified observations at standard stations. Updated forecast briefings over the next 24 hours could refine the distribution if convective activity shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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