Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a London minimum temperature of 15–16°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Hourly guidance from sources like Yr.no shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16°C amid light drizzle potential, while seasonal baselines for late August typically feature lows of 14–15°C. Recent overnight observations around 15–17°C and stable mild air masses have reinforced trader focus on the narrow 16°C and 17°C bands, with forecast updates from official agencies likely to refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
16°C 54%
17°C 45%
18°C 3%
15°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
54%
17°C
45%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
17°C 45%
18°C 3%
15°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$40 Vol.
1%
13°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
1%
15°C
$113 Vol.
3%
16°C
$1,083 Vol.
54%
17°C
$706 Vol.
45%
18°C
$298 Vol.
3%
19°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a London minimum temperature of 15–16°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Hourly guidance from sources like Yr.no shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16°C amid light drizzle potential, while seasonal baselines for late August typically feature lows of 14–15°C. Recent overnight observations around 15–17°C and stable mild air masses have reinforced trader focus on the narrow 16°C and 17°C bands, with forecast updates from official agencies likely to refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,432End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a London minimum temperature of 15–16°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Hourly guidance from sources like Yr.no shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16°C amid light drizzle potential, while seasonal baselines for late August typically feature lows of 14–15°C. Recent overnight observations around 15–17°C and stable mild air masses have reinforced trader focus on the narrow 16°C and 17°C bands, with forecast updates from official agencies likely to refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,432End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Met Office and other agencies points to a London minimum temperature of 15–16°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Hourly guidance from sources like Yr.no shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16°C amid light drizzle potential, while seasonal baselines for late August typically feature lows of 14–15°C. Recent overnight observations around 15–17°C and stable mild air masses have reinforced trader focus on the narrow 16°C and 17°C bands, with forecast updates from official agencies likely to refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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