Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C on August 31, driven by southerly winds and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from Russian and European models highlights mild conditions with possible light rain, keeping the minimum above typical late-August averages around 12°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread on exact timing of any showers and wind strength, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these projections as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
19°C or higher 94%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
16°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
53%
10°C
89%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
46%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
90%
17°C
50%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
94%
19°C or higher 94%
11°C 90%
12°C 90%
16°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
10°C
$0 Vol.
89%
11°C
$0 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
46%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
90%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C on August 31, driven by southerly winds and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from Russian and European models highlights mild conditions with possible light rain, keeping the minimum above typical late-August averages around 12°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread on exact timing of any showers and wind strength, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these projections as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C on August 31, driven by southerly winds and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from Russian and European models highlights mild conditions with possible light rain, keeping the minimum above typical late-August averages around 12°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread on exact timing of any showers and wind strength, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these projections as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C on August 31, driven by southerly winds and variable cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance from Russian and European models highlights mild conditions with possible light rain, keeping the minimum above typical late-August averages around 12°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from model spread on exact timing of any showers and wind strength, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these projections as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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