**Forecast consensus from official and numerical models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for Seattle on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-55°F bin (39%) followed by 52-53°F and 56-57°F.** Clear skies and light northerly winds are expected overnight into Tuesday after Monday’s onshore flow and drizzle, promoting radiational cooling under weak high pressure. This setup typically yields lows near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 54.4°F for the date. Recent NWS observations show September 2026 lows fluctuating between 52–58°F, with the pattern of mild early-September nights continuing. Model guidance (including NWS and supporting ensembles) shows limited spread around 54–56°F, with minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift probabilities toward the tails. The market’s concentration in the central bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the absence of disruptive synoptic changes through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 8?
56-57°F 49%
54-55°F 39%
52-53°F 28%
47°F or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
47°F or below
16%
48-49°F
15%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
5%
56-57°F 49%
54-55°F 39%
52-53°F 28%
47°F or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
16%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
15%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
10%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
28%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
16%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
15%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
6%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and numerical models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for Seattle on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-55°F bin (39%) followed by 52-53°F and 56-57°F.**
Clear skies and light northerly winds are expected overnight into Tuesday after Monday’s onshore flow and drizzle, promoting radiational cooling under weak high pressure. This setup typically yields lows near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 54.4°F for the date. Recent NWS observations show September 2026 lows fluctuating between 52–58°F, with the pattern of mild early-September nights continuing.
Model guidance (including NWS and supporting ensembles) shows limited spread around 54–56°F, with minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift probabilities toward the tails. The market’s concentration in the central bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the absence of disruptive synoptic changes through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and numerical models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for Seattle on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-55°F bin (39%) followed by 52-53°F and 56-57°F.**
Clear skies and light northerly winds are expected overnight into Tuesday after Monday’s onshore flow and drizzle, promoting radiational cooling under weak high pressure. This setup typically yields lows near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 54.4°F for the date. Recent NWS observations show September 2026 lows fluctuating between 52–58°F, with the pattern of mild early-September nights continuing.
Model guidance (including NWS and supporting ensembles) shows limited spread around 54–56°F, with minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift probabilities toward the tails. The market’s concentration in the central bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the absence of disruptive synoptic changes through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official and numerical models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for Seattle on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-55°F bin (39%) followed by 52-53°F and 56-57°F.** Clear skies and light northerly winds are expected overnight into Tuesday after Monday’s onshore flow and drizzle, promoting radiational cooling under weak high pressure. This setup typically yields lows near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 54.4°F for the date. Recent NWS observations show September 2026 lows fluctuating between 52–58°F, with the pattern of mild early-September nights continuing. Model guidance (including NWS and supporting ensembles) shows limited spread around 54–56°F, with minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection that would shift probabilities toward the tails. The market’s concentration in the central bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope and the absence of disruptive synoptic changes through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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