Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from models such as GFS and regional guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C during the overnight and early morning hours under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and high pressure near 1023 hPa. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology for the region where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions, underpins the market-implied 98.5% probability for an 8°C low. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations and updated model runs will determine the final recorded minimum; deviations could arise if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight, potentially raising the low by 1–2°C, or if radiational cooling exceeds expectations under clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 7?
8°C 99%
6°C 25.8%
7°C 16%
5°C or below 14.8%
$1,425 Vol.
$1,425 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
5°C or below
15%
6°C
26%
7°C
16%
8°C
99%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 99%
6°C 25.8%
7°C 16%
5°C or below 14.8%
$1,425 Vol.
$1,425 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
5°C or below
$65 Vol.
15%
6°C
$65 Vol.
26%
7°C
$25 Vol.
16%
8°C
$450 Vol.
99%
9°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from models such as GFS and regional guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C during the overnight and early morning hours under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and high pressure near 1023 hPa. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology for the region where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions, underpins the market-implied 98.5% probability for an 8°C low. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations and updated model runs will determine the final recorded minimum; deviations could arise if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight, potentially raising the low by 1–2°C, or if radiational cooling exceeds expectations under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,425End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from models such as GFS and regional guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C during the overnight and early morning hours under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and high pressure near 1023 hPa. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology for the region where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions, underpins the market-implied 98.5% probability for an 8°C low. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations and updated model runs will determine the final recorded minimum; deviations could arise if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight, potentially raising the low by 1–2°C, or if radiational cooling exceeds expectations under clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,425End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on September 7, 2026, from models such as GFS and regional guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C during the overnight and early morning hours under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and high pressure near 1023 hPa. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology for the region where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions, underpins the market-implied 98.5% probability for an 8°C low. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations and updated model runs will determine the final recorded minimum; deviations could arise if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight, potentially raising the low by 1–2°C, or if radiational cooling exceeds expectations under clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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