Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 28, sustained by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high dew points near 24–26°C. Light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies further reduce the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution model runs will clarify whether the expected typhoon-related cooling arrives early enough to affect the 28th reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
31°C 63%
32°C or higher 48%
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
43%
25°C
45%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
44%
30°C
42%
31°C
63%
32°C or higher
48%
31°C 63%
32°C or higher 48%
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
9%
23°C
$22 Vol.
16%
24°C
$22 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
44%
30°C
$20 Vol.
42%
31°C
$22 Vol.
63%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 28, sustained by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high dew points near 24–26°C. Light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies further reduce the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution model runs will clarify whether the expected typhoon-related cooling arrives early enough to affect the 28th reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 28, sustained by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high dew points near 24–26°C. Light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies further reduce the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution model runs will clarify whether the expected typhoon-related cooling arrives early enough to affect the 28th reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 27–28°C on August 28, sustained by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling amid high dew points near 24–26°C. Light northeast winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies further reduce the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows elevated compared with climatological norms for late August. Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could alter the low by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next high-resolution model runs will clarify whether the expected typhoon-related cooling arrives early enough to affect the 28th reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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