The Odyssey leads the Oscars 2027 Best Picture market with a 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on Christopher Nolan’s established awards momentum and the project’s high-profile scale ahead of its 2026 release. Multiple other titles cluster around 50% or lower, underscoring an unusually open field this early, where release timing, critical reception, and guild support have yet to consolidate consensus. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% on franchise loyalty, while lower-probability entries such as Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary trail amid limited early data. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, precursor awards cycles beginning in late 2026, and box-office performance that historically influences Academy voter perception.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey 55%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 10%
Fjord 6%
$106,694 Vol.
$106,694 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
55%
Dune: Part Three
14%
Wild Horse Nine
10%
Fjord
6%
Behemoth!
6%
Project Hail Mary
6%
Digger
6%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
The Social Reckoning
3%
Josephine
2%
Saturn Return
2%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
Disclosure Day
2%
Michael
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Clarissa
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
The Drama
<1%
Tony
<1%
The Odyssey 55%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 10%
Fjord 6%
$106,694 Vol.
$106,694 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
$80,118 Vol.
55%
Dune: Part Three
$11,876 Vol.
14%
Wild Horse Nine
$3,540 Vol.
10%
Fjord
$2,700 Vol.
6%
Behemoth!
$2,075 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$1,686 Vol.
6%
Digger
$4,058 Vol.
6%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$55 Vol.
3%
The Social Reckoning
$30 Vol.
3%
Josephine
$105 Vol.
2%
Saturn Return
$30 Vol.
2%
Avengers: Doomsday
$60 Vol.
2%
Disclosure Day
$55 Vol.
2%
Michael
$95 Vol.
1%
All of a Sudden
$65 Vol.
1%
Clarissa
$30 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$46 Vol.
<1%
The Drama
$35 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$35 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the Oscars 2027 Best Picture market with a 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on Christopher Nolan’s established awards momentum and the project’s high-profile scale ahead of its 2026 release. Multiple other titles cluster around 50% or lower, underscoring an unusually open field this early, where release timing, critical reception, and guild support have yet to consolidate consensus. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% on franchise loyalty, while lower-probability entries such as Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary trail amid limited early data. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, precursor awards cycles beginning in late 2026, and box-office performance that historically influences Academy voter perception.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$106,694End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the Oscars 2027 Best Picture market with a 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on Christopher Nolan’s established awards momentum and the project’s high-profile scale ahead of its 2026 release. Multiple other titles cluster around 50% or lower, underscoring an unusually open field this early, where release timing, critical reception, and guild support have yet to consolidate consensus. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% on franchise loyalty, while lower-probability entries such as Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary trail amid limited early data. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, precursor awards cycles beginning in late 2026, and box-office performance that historically influences Academy voter perception.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,694End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads the Oscars 2027 Best Picture market with a 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on Christopher Nolan’s established awards momentum and the project’s high-profile scale ahead of its 2026 release. Multiple other titles cluster around 50% or lower, underscoring an unusually open field this early, where release timing, critical reception, and guild support have yet to consolidate consensus. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% on franchise loyalty, while lower-probability entries such as Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary trail amid limited early data. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, precursor awards cycles beginning in late 2026, and box-office performance that historically influences Academy voter perception.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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