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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Paul Giamatti 28%

Robert Pattinson 8.8%

Sam Rockwell 6.7%

John Goodman 7%

Polymarket

$11,594 Vol.

Paul Giamatti 28%

Robert Pattinson 8.8%

Sam Rockwell 6.7%

John Goodman 7%

Polymarket

$11,594 Vol.

icon for Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti

$2,406 Vol.

28%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$6,967 Vol.

9%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$92 Vol.

7%

icon for John Goodman

John Goodman

$371 Vol.

7%

icon for Jesse Plemons

Jesse Plemons

$68 Vol.

4%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Buscemi

Steve Buscemi

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Miles Teller

Miles Teller

$85 Vol.

4%

icon for Riz Ahmed

Riz Ahmed

$97 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Robert De Niro

Robert De Niro

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Himesh Patel

Himesh Patel

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniel Craig

Daniel Craig

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Edward Norton

Edward Norton

$128 Vol.

3%

icon for Travis Scott

Travis Scott

$132 Vol.

3%

icon for Charles Melton

Charles Melton

$471 Vol.

3%

icon for Michael Fassbender

Michael Fassbender

$55 Vol.

3%

icon for Channing Tatum

Channing Tatum

$145 Vol.

2%

icon for Colman Domingo

Colman Domingo

$75 Vol.

9%

icon for Adam Scott

Adam Scott

$92 Vol.

2%

icon for James Ortiz

James Ortiz

$75 Vol.

1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actor remains diffuse as most contenders’ films have yet to screen or generate widespread buzz. Paul Giamatti’s 27.5% implied probability reflects his frontrunner status in The Debut, capitalizing on an overdue narrative for the veteran character actor in a mentor-style role. Colman Domingo, Robert Pattinson, Sam Rockwell, and John Goodman trail with single-digit shares, buoyed by projects like Digger and Wild Horse Nine that could yield multiple nominations. With guild precursors and critical consensus still months away, the market prices in high uncertainty and potential late surges from fall releases.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,594
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actor remains diffuse as most contenders’ films have yet to screen or generate widespread buzz. Paul Giamatti’s 27.5% implied probability reflects his frontrunner status in The Debut, capitalizing on an overdue narrative for the veteran character actor in a mentor-style role. Colman Domingo, Robert Pattinson, Sam Rockwell, and John Goodman trail with single-digit shares, buoyed by projects like Digger and Wild Horse Nine that could yield multiple nominations. With guild precursors and critical consensus still months away, the market prices in high uncertainty and potential late surges from fall releases.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,594
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Giamatti" at 28%, followed by "Robert Pattinson" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is "Paul Giamatti" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Pattinson" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.