Anne Hathaway leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar at 39% implied probability, driven by her high-profile role as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened to strong box office and critical acclaim this summer. Universal’s aggressive awards push and the film’s expected nomination haul create momentum, though debate persists over whether she campaigns in lead or supporting. Penélope Cruz follows at 13% on the strength of roles in “La Bola Negra” and “The Invite,” while Mariana di Girolamo (“Wild Horse Nine”) and Sandra Hüller sit lower amid a crowded field. With no guild or critics’ awards yet, the race remains fluid; fall festival premieres and category positioning decisions will likely shift odds before precursor season begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 39%
Penélope Cruz 14%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.5%
Betty Gilpin 7%
$10,461 Vol.
$10,461 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
39%
Penélope Cruz
14%
Mariana di Girolamo
9%
Betty Gilpin
7%
Zendaya
6%
Tao Okamoto
6%
Parker Posey
5%
Inde Navarrette
5%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Sandra Hüller
4%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Gemma Chan
3%
Anne Hathaway 39%
Penélope Cruz 14%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.5%
Betty Gilpin 7%
$10,461 Vol.
$10,461 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$7,930 Vol.
39%
Penélope Cruz
$595 Vol.
14%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
9%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
7%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Tao Okamoto
$50 Vol.
6%
Parker Posey
$71 Vol.
5%
Inde Navarrette
$202 Vol.
5%
Margaret Qualley
$233 Vol.
4%
Sandra Hüller
$231 Vol.
4%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Gemma Chan
$102 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar at 39% implied probability, driven by her high-profile role as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened to strong box office and critical acclaim this summer. Universal’s aggressive awards push and the film’s expected nomination haul create momentum, though debate persists over whether she campaigns in lead or supporting. Penélope Cruz follows at 13% on the strength of roles in “La Bola Negra” and “The Invite,” while Mariana di Girolamo (“Wild Horse Nine”) and Sandra Hüller sit lower amid a crowded field. With no guild or critics’ awards yet, the race remains fluid; fall festival premieres and category positioning decisions will likely shift odds before precursor season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$10,461End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar at 39% implied probability, driven by her high-profile role as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened to strong box office and critical acclaim this summer. Universal’s aggressive awards push and the film’s expected nomination haul create momentum, though debate persists over whether she campaigns in lead or supporting. Penélope Cruz follows at 13% on the strength of roles in “La Bola Negra” and “The Invite,” while Mariana di Girolamo (“Wild Horse Nine”) and Sandra Hüller sit lower amid a crowded field. With no guild or critics’ awards yet, the race remains fluid; fall festival premieres and category positioning decisions will likely shift odds before precursor season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,461End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anne Hathaway leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar at 39% implied probability, driven by her high-profile role as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened to strong box office and critical acclaim this summer. Universal’s aggressive awards push and the film’s expected nomination haul create momentum, though debate persists over whether she campaigns in lead or supporting. Penélope Cruz follows at 13% on the strength of roles in “La Bola Negra” and “The Invite,” while Mariana di Girolamo (“Wild Horse Nine”) and Sandra Hüller sit lower amid a crowded field. With no guild or critics’ awards yet, the race remains fluid; fall festival premieres and category positioning decisions will likely shift odds before precursor season begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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