Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with August surveys from Verian, Novus and Demoskop showing 6.2–7.5%. As a junior partner in the Tidö coalition alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna with Sverigedemokraterna support, the party benefits from Ebba Busch’s personal trust ratings and emphasis on welfare, family policy and values issues amid a campaign focused on the economy, crime and immigration. KD has recorded modest gains from earlier 2026 lows near 4.5–5%, though the broader right-leaning bloc trails the centre-left opposition by roughly 7–10 points. Trader consensus on a 5–7% outcome reflects this steady positioning near the upper end of recent results, while lower or higher bands account for typical late-campaign volatility in small-party support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7% 58%
<5% 18%
7-9% 16%
9%+ 7.4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
18%
5-7%
66%
7-9%
16%
9%+
7%
5-7% 58%
<5% 18%
7-9% 16%
9%+ 7.4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$1,196 Vol.
18%
5-7%
$5,733 Vol.
66%
7-9%
$512 Vol.
16%
9%+
$184 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with August surveys from Verian, Novus and Demoskop showing 6.2–7.5%. As a junior partner in the Tidö coalition alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna with Sverigedemokraterna support, the party benefits from Ebba Busch’s personal trust ratings and emphasis on welfare, family policy and values issues amid a campaign focused on the economy, crime and immigration. KD has recorded modest gains from earlier 2026 lows near 4.5–5%, though the broader right-leaning bloc trails the centre-left opposition by roughly 7–10 points. Trader consensus on a 5–7% outcome reflects this steady positioning near the upper end of recent results, while lower or higher bands account for typical late-campaign volatility in small-party support.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$7,625End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with August surveys from Verian, Novus and Demoskop showing 6.2–7.5%. As a junior partner in the Tidö coalition alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna with Sverigedemokraterna support, the party benefits from Ebba Busch’s personal trust ratings and emphasis on welfare, family policy and values issues amid a campaign focused on the economy, crime and immigration. KD has recorded modest gains from earlier 2026 lows near 4.5–5%, though the broader right-leaning bloc trails the centre-left opposition by roughly 7–10 points. Trader consensus on a 5–7% outcome reflects this steady positioning near the upper end of recent results, while lower or higher bands account for typical late-campaign volatility in small-party support.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$7,625End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with August surveys from Verian, Novus and Demoskop showing 6.2–7.5%. As a junior partner in the Tidö coalition alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna with Sverigedemokraterna support, the party benefits from Ebba Busch’s personal trust ratings and emphasis on welfare, family policy and values issues amid a campaign focused on the economy, crime and immigration. KD has recorded modest gains from earlier 2026 lows near 4.5–5%, though the broader right-leaning bloc trails the centre-left opposition by roughly 7–10 points. Trader consensus on a 5–7% outcome reflects this steady positioning near the upper end of recent results, while lower or higher bands account for typical late-campaign volatility in small-party support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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