**Stable high-pressure conditions and a cooling trend under clear skies are positioning 24°C as the market favorite for Ankara's daily maximum on September 8, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple model runs (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, supporting a peak temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent observations from September 7 showed a noticeable drop of several degrees amid northerly flow, consistent with the expected 3–5°C cooling that has pulled the consensus maximum down from earlier seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Hourly forecasts cluster tightly around a 24°C afternoon peak, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting upward deviations. The 23°C outcome retains secondary support if the peak arrives slightly earlier or under marginally stronger winds, while the low single-digit probability on 25°C+ reflects the narrow window for warmer model solutions. This distribution mirrors the tight clustering in authoritative short-range guidance issued on September 7, with no significant synoptic changes anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
24°C 65%
23°C 27%
25°C 7%
22°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
27%
24°C
65%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 65%
23°C 27%
25°C 7%
22°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
19°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$580 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2,049 Vol.
27%
24°C
$3,013 Vol.
65%
25°C
$2,306 Vol.
7%
26°C
$318 Vol.
2%
27°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and a cooling trend under clear skies are positioning 24°C as the market favorite for Ankara's daily maximum on September 8, 2026.**
Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple model runs (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, supporting a peak temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent observations from September 7 showed a noticeable drop of several degrees amid northerly flow, consistent with the expected 3–5°C cooling that has pulled the consensus maximum down from earlier seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Hourly forecasts cluster tightly around a 24°C afternoon peak, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting upward deviations.
The 23°C outcome retains secondary support if the peak arrives slightly earlier or under marginally stronger winds, while the low single-digit probability on 25°C+ reflects the narrow window for warmer model solutions. This distribution mirrors the tight clustering in authoritative short-range guidance issued on September 7, with no significant synoptic changes anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,989End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and a cooling trend under clear skies are positioning 24°C as the market favorite for Ankara's daily maximum on September 8, 2026.**
Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple model runs (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, supporting a peak temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent observations from September 7 showed a noticeable drop of several degrees amid northerly flow, consistent with the expected 3–5°C cooling that has pulled the consensus maximum down from earlier seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Hourly forecasts cluster tightly around a 24°C afternoon peak, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting upward deviations.
The 23°C outcome retains secondary support if the peak arrives slightly earlier or under marginally stronger winds, while the low single-digit probability on 25°C+ reflects the narrow window for warmer model solutions. This distribution mirrors the tight clustering in authoritative short-range guidance issued on September 7, with no significant synoptic changes anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,989End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and a cooling trend under clear skies are positioning 24°C as the market favorite for Ankara's daily maximum on September 8, 2026.** Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple model runs (including ECMWF and GFS-derived products) indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, supporting a peak temperature in the mid-20s Celsius. Recent observations from September 7 showed a noticeable drop of several degrees amid northerly flow, consistent with the expected 3–5°C cooling that has pulled the consensus maximum down from earlier seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Hourly forecasts cluster tightly around a 24°C afternoon peak, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting upward deviations. The 23°C outcome retains secondary support if the peak arrives slightly earlier or under marginally stronger winds, while the low single-digit probability on 25°C+ reflects the narrow window for warmer model solutions. This distribution mirrors the tight clustering in authoritative short-range guidance issued on September 7, with no significant synoptic changes anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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