**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Ankara, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum temperature of 8–12°C on September 8.** Multiple forecasts, including detailed runs from sources like Yr.no for Esenboğa Airport, show the lowest readings near dawn around 10–11°C amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, while some local outlooks dip to 8°C. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where calm nights enhance heat loss from the surface. Trader consensus reflects this range, with the 9°C-or-below outcome holding the highest implied probability near 48.5% as final observations approach. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
12°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
50%
13°C
25%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
23%
12°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
$10 Vol.
49%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$24 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$6 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$6 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Ankara, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum temperature of 8–12°C on September 8.** Multiple forecasts, including detailed runs from sources like Yr.no for Esenboğa Airport, show the lowest readings near dawn around 10–11°C amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, while some local outlooks dip to 8°C. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where calm nights enhance heat loss from the surface. Trader consensus reflects this range, with the 9°C-or-below outcome holding the highest implied probability near 48.5% as final observations approach. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$46End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Ankara, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum temperature of 8–12°C on September 8.** Multiple forecasts, including detailed runs from sources like Yr.no for Esenboğa Airport, show the lowest readings near dawn around 10–11°C amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, while some local outlooks dip to 8°C. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where calm nights enhance heat loss from the surface. Trader consensus reflects this range, with the 9°C-or-below outcome holding the highest implied probability near 48.5% as final observations approach. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Ankara, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum temperature of 8–12°C on September 8.** Multiple forecasts, including detailed runs from sources like Yr.no for Esenboğa Airport, show the lowest readings near dawn around 10–11°C amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, while some local outlooks dip to 8°C. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where calm nights enhance heat loss from the surface. Trader consensus reflects this range, with the 9°C-or-below outcome holding the highest implied probability near 48.5% as final observations approach. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance will refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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