Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 8 will likely reach 14–15°C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler early-September patterns, keeping readings several degrees below the 17.9°C climatological average high. Official guidance highlights minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 16°C while sustained cloudiness or stronger winds favor the lower end. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability and model agreement on modest warming only after midweek.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
15°C 47%
14°C 34%
16°C 10%
13°C 8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
34%
15°C
47%
16°C
10%
17°C or higher
3%
15°C 47%
14°C 34%
16°C 10%
13°C 8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
34%
15°C
47%
16°C
10%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 8 will likely reach 14–15°C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow cooler early-September patterns, keeping readings several degrees below the 17.9°C climatological average high. Official guidance highlights minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure, with any brief clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 16°C while sustained cloudiness or stronger winds favor the lower end. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability and model agreement on modest warming only after midweek.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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