Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 8 will likely fall near 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that favor radiative cooling after sunset. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering around 7°C and 8°C outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for slightly warmer readings if persistent cloud cover or mixing reduces heat loss. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has shown minor cooling trends amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on final observational data from Russian meteorological stations, where even small forecast revisions in dew point or wind speed could shift probabilities among the closely matched bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
14°C or higher 60.5%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
7°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
29%
5°C
27%
6°C
26%
7°C
32%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
61%
14°C or higher 60.5%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
7°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
29%
5°C
$16 Vol.
27%
6°C
$5 Vol.
26%
7°C
$5 Vol.
32%
8°C
$9 Vol.
27%
9°C
$10 Vol.
24%
10°C
$150 Vol.
25%
11°C
$50 Vol.
49%
12°C
$200 Vol.
49%
13°C
$150 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$60 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 8 will likely fall near 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that favor radiative cooling after sunset. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering around 7°C and 8°C outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for slightly warmer readings if persistent cloud cover or mixing reduces heat loss. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has shown minor cooling trends amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on final observational data from Russian meteorological stations, where even small forecast revisions in dew point or wind speed could shift probabilities among the closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$655End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 8 will likely fall near 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that favor radiative cooling after sunset. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering around 7°C and 8°C outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for slightly warmer readings if persistent cloud cover or mixing reduces heat loss. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has shown minor cooling trends amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on final observational data from Russian meteorological stations, where even small forecast revisions in dew point or wind speed could shift probabilities among the closely matched bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$655End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 8 will likely fall near 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that favor radiative cooling after sunset. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering around 7°C and 8°C outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for slightly warmer readings if persistent cloud cover or mixing reduces heat loss. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has shown minor cooling trends amid stable high pressure. Resolution hinges on final observational data from Russian meteorological stations, where even small forecast revisions in dew point or wind speed could shift probabilities among the closely matched bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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