Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows near 18–19°C, with some guidance dipping toward 16–17°C under clearer intervals or rising slightly above 20°C if cloud cover persists. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth, where average lows hover around 21°C but can vary several degrees based on wind direction and precipitation timing. Market odds near 50% across thresholds reflect model spread and the narrow range of likely outcomes just two days out, underscoring sensitivity to the next official updates from regional meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 28?
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 89%
16°C or below 88%
17°C 87%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
88%
17°C
87%
18°C
44%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
46%
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
45%
25°C
89%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 89%
16°C or below 88%
17°C 87%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$22 Vol.
88%
17°C
$22 Vol.
87%
18°C
$0 Vol.
44%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
46%
22°C
$0 Vol.
46%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$20 Vol.
45%
25°C
$22 Vol.
89%
26°C or higher
$22 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows near 18–19°C, with some guidance dipping toward 16–17°C under clearer intervals or rising slightly above 20°C if cloud cover persists. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth, where average lows hover around 21°C but can vary several degrees based on wind direction and precipitation timing. Market odds near 50% across thresholds reflect model spread and the narrow range of likely outcomes just two days out, underscoring sensitivity to the next official updates from regional meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows near 18–19°C, with some guidance dipping toward 16–17°C under clearer intervals or rising slightly above 20°C if cloud cover persists. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth, where average lows hover around 21°C but can vary several degrees based on wind direction and precipitation timing. Market odds near 50% across thresholds reflect model spread and the narrow range of likely outcomes just two days out, underscoring sensitivity to the next official updates from regional meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows near 18–19°C, with some guidance dipping toward 16–17°C under clearer intervals or rising slightly above 20°C if cloud cover persists. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline from peak summer warmth, where average lows hover around 21°C but can vary several degrees based on wind direction and precipitation timing. Market odds near 50% across thresholds reflect model spread and the narrow range of likely outcomes just two days out, underscoring sensitivity to the next official updates from regional meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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