Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 26 with daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 21–23°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This stable high-pressure pattern favors clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, which can pull minimum temperatures toward the lower end of the range, while light winds limit mixing that might otherwise moderate the drop. Trader consensus remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 17°C and at or above 27°C because small variations in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, or minor forecast adjustments near the resolution window can shift the exact daily minimum across several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near seasonal norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 60%
27°C or higher 60%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
60%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
89%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
89%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
60%
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 60%
27°C or higher 60%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
89%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 26 with daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 21–23°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This stable high-pressure pattern favors clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, which can pull minimum temperatures toward the lower end of the range, while light winds limit mixing that might otherwise moderate the drop. Trader consensus remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 17°C and at or above 27°C because small variations in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, or minor forecast adjustments near the resolution window can shift the exact daily minimum across several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 26 with daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 21–23°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This stable high-pressure pattern favors clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, which can pull minimum temperatures toward the lower end of the range, while light winds limit mixing that might otherwise moderate the drop. Trader consensus remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 17°C and at or above 27°C because small variations in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, or minor forecast adjustments near the resolution window can shift the exact daily minimum across several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 26 with daytime highs near 30°C and overnight lows of 21–23°C under light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This stable high-pressure pattern favors clear-sky radiative cooling after sunset, which can pull minimum temperatures toward the lower end of the range, while light winds limit mixing that might otherwise moderate the drop. Trader consensus remains closely balanced between outcomes at or below 17°C and at or above 27°C because small variations in nocturnal cooling rates, urban heat-island effects, or minor forecast adjustments near the resolution window can shift the exact daily minimum across several degrees. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near seasonal norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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